SportsLine's proven model simulated the 2025 PGA Championship 10,000 times and revealed its surprising PGA Tour golf picks and PGA Championship favorite to win

Charlotte, N.C., has endured several inches of rain recently but PGA officials made a point of saying preferred lies would not be in effect at Quail Hollow.

This decision stands in stark contrast to the PGA Tour's regular season protocol, where "lift, clean and place" rules are routinely implemented after heavy rainfall. Under these conditions, players can pick up their ball in the fairway to remove mud and find a cleaner lie—a practice that significantly eases the challenge for competitors.

Everyone is excited to see if Rory McIlroy can follow up his memorable and historic Masters victory, which gave him the career Grand Slam. Now, the Northern Irishman looks to capture the PGA Championship title for the first time since 2014.

Don’t forget about the LIV players, too. While Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are the favorites to win the 107th PGA Championship, they have plenty of challengers. That includes defending champion Xander Schauffele, who is fifth among the early betting favorites, and the 2017 PGA winner at Quail Hollow, Justin Thomas.

Mike McClure locked in his top PGA one and done picks, sleepers, and PGA Tour golf predictions for the PGA Championship 2025 at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte

The PGA Championship has long been the major that has struggled to find an identity outside of getting the top 100 players in the world.

Vokey tour rep Aaron Dill doesn't stand still for long during a major championship week. One second he's offering wedge feedback on the range, the next, he's back in the Titleist truck building a fresh lob wedge for a club pro who might be lucky to see him once per year.