Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva says the 50% tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump would trigger the ...

President Donald Trump singled out Brazil for import taxes of 50% on Wednesday specifically because of its treatment of its former president, Jair Bolsonaro.

The probability of a US recession this year has plunged on Polymarket and Kalshi. Prediction gurus break down what that means ...

Carville and Greenberg committed one of the cardinal sins of politics: applying a one-size-fits-all approach to elections.

President Donald Trump secured a sweeping shift in US domestic policy as the House passed a $3.4 trillion fiscal package that ...

Political commentator Bill O’Reilly predicted the GOP tax and spending bill will improve the economy, thereby boosting ...

Germany heads to the polls this Sunday, with the conservative Christian Democrats leading the polls. Immigration and the ailing economy play a decisive role in this high-stakes vote.

This year, with the economy doing well again, the electorate went Republican. Summing up, all three elections that took place since we first wrote our model went exactly the way it predicted they ...

Republicans win elections when the economy is performing well, because voters don’t worry so much about the safety net and care more about low taxes, which they associate with Republicans.