There are no shruggies in science. Dealing honestly with probability and uncertainty demands quantitative engagement.

However, the mathematics of probability has rules that you can use in a much more disciplined way than guesswork to predict possible outcomes for your business plans. Understanding the importance ...

The following links use the Virtual Laboratories in Probability and Statistics by Professor Kyle Siegrist of the University of Alabama at Huntsville. Each link opens a page that illustrates the ...

The Role of Probability Distribution in Business Management. Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more ...

The hot and cold spots from the hemispheres of the sky, as they appear in the CMB. This encodes a tremendous amount of information about the early Universe. We expect both hemispheres to have the ...

Assessment of the reliability of a given phylogenetic hypothesis is an important step in phylogenetic analysis. Historically, the nonparametric bootstrap procedure has been the most frequently used ...

At best, the Win Probability graphic provides a crude quantification of what you’re already feeling. At worst, it gaslights you into second-guessing your sense of the game.