In a recent paper, SFI Complexity Postdoctoral Fellow Yuanzhao Zhang and co-author William Gilpin show that a deceptively ...

Researchers at the Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo and George Mason University's College of Science ...

A substantial decline in market-based measures of inflation expectations has raised concerns about low future inflation. An important question to address is whether these measures contain information ...

Here's the thing: most people check weather forecasts to decide whether to bring an umbrella, not to save hundreds on their heating bill. One family in the Midwest discovered they'd been doing it all ...

Q. I use Excel to do traditional linear forecasting, but I would like to upgrade to exponential smoothing for more accurate forecasts. Is there a way to do this in Excel? A. Accurate forecasting is ...