The January CPI came in at 2.4% but real-time data and a structural lag in shelter costs suggest headline inflation has further to fall.

With new inflation data just released, what can retirees expect from the 2027 Social Security COLA? We analyze the early signs and expert predictions.

Inflation cooled in January. If the trend continues, Social Security receipients could see the smallest COLA increase since 2016, estimates show.

The new consumer price index report showed the inflation rate slowed more than expected.

Consensus estimates call for a 0.3% month-over-month increase in January CPI, matching the prior reading. However, activity in prediction markets suggests investors see a meaningful chance of a ...

Recent research suggests that generic large language models (LLMs) can match the accuracy of traditional methods when forecasting macroeconomic variables in ...

“The index for shelter rose 0.2% in January and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase,” the BLS said in its release. “The food index increased 0.2% as did the food at home index, ...

As recently as June, many stock analysts predicted the stock market would end 2025 without any real gains. At the time, several prominent forecasters projected the S&P 500 index would close out the ...

Research is casting prediction markets as policy-relevant forecasting tools just as state regulators escalate efforts to ...

Jonathan Heath, deputy governor of the Bank of Mexico, questioned the institution's official forecast and cautioned that current estimates might be overly optimistic.